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US – Green light for easing Last week, CPI surprised to the upside. Core CPI was broadly in line with expectations, but weaker passthrough to core PCE combined with higher initial jobless claims sparked a short rally in rates. Markets are now discounting three cuts by year-end, with September leaning toward 25 basis points but […]
UK – Fiscal drives you higher Last week, UK rates were one of the drivers of duration selloff, with 30-year yields climbing to their highest levels since 1998. The move was amplified by headlines suggesting Starmer’s reshuffle could sideline Rachel Reeves. At it’s core, the issue is fiscal. Refinancing costs are rising and with them […]
Despite macro uncertainty, financial equities continue to deliver. European banks show resilient fundamentals and earnings upgrades, while US financials benefit from deregulation and M&A. These bottom-up signals strengthen the case for active exposure to the sector. Listen to Algebris’ latest podcast with Benjie Creelan Sandford (Financial Equity Analyst) and Douglas Branson (Head of Business Development […]
France – Short lived fears or lasting change? Last Tuesday, Bayrou called a confidence vote on his budget, a move that is likely to bring down his coalition. Elections should not be triggered, and a new PM is expected to piece together a budget through concessions across the spectrum. New presidential elections can be […]
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